Showing posts with label Middle East. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Middle East. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

Donald Trump/Israel’s "Doomsday" in the Middle East against Iran (The "Big Orange"/US’s "Judgment Day" battle)

I published this text/Post on February 18 of this year (2026) in Portuguese: (https://holocausto-doc.blogspot.com/2026/02/o-doomsday-de-donald-trump-no-ira-oriente-medio-a-batalha-do-juizo-final-do-big-orange-eua.html).

I'll try to translate (no promises) more texts from Portuguese into English.

I don't do this often because "Google Translate" handles the Portuguese-to-English conversion quite well—very reasonably—so those who wish to read directly on the main blog in Portuguese are welcome to do so.

One question: What has happened since then (it's now September 2026, about 7 months later)? And what hasn't happened?...
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Iranian missile striking
Tel Aviv, Israel, 2025
Is the brutish, "pedo-president" of the US, Donald Trump, really going to go all-in on Iran?... What’s at stake is the very accelerated collapse of the American Empire due a major military setback occur...

The US would hold Israel politically accountable for this Middle East "adventure" in the event of a failure; furthermore, Israel itself could become a target for Iran (via missiles and drones) if it were to launch another—and this time, heavier—military strike against Iran again.

"Big Orange" (Trump) has backed himself into a corner by playing a game of high-stakes brinkmanship. Netanyahu and the Israeli lobby want the war against Iran "at all costs" (they’ve effectively put a gun to "Big Orange"'s head), while Iran is already positioning itself in the Strait of Hormuz to choke off global trade—hitting both the US and the world economy—not to mention the very real possibility of sending the US Navy forces in the area to the bottom of the sea or inflicting enough damage to force a retreat (whether they would actually pull the trigger is another story; we’d find out soon enough in a clash, but the possibility is there).

The choice of title for this post was deliberate, as the US has always been fixated—neurotic, even—about the "narrative" surrounding religious beliefs regarding "Judgment Day", the Apocalypse, etc... it seems the time has come to face the trouble... not to mention the multitrillion-dollar debt owed to "everyone and their dog"... (by 2025, the US debt had reached an unpayable $38 trillion—a figure exceeding the country's numerically inflated GDP: https://valor.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2025/10/23/dvida-pblica-dos-eua-atinge-us-38-trilhes-aps-acelerao-recorde-desde-a-pandemia.ghtml).

Brazil's celebrating Carnival seemingly oblivious to what is happening in the rest of the world; I have nothing against the event itself, but the country's irresponsible decision to dance on the edge of a precipice is truly extraordinary. This is largely because the so-called "traditional media" has been misinforming or alienating the population for decades, while other media (Alternative media) fail to provide a cohesive picture (retreating instead into ghettos, cliques, and insular groups)—compounded by the poor quality of political education among the general public.

China is "advising" Iran and supplying it with means of defense; for those who thought the Republic of China would merely "watch" the clash from the sidelines again—it has shaken off its inertia, even if it isn't directly participating in the conflict.

Trump has painted himself into a corner where backing down would look like weakness; furthermore, by deeply angering the Israeli lobby in the US, he has made a mistake that could cost him dearly (politically speaking, "risking his own skin").

Scenes from upcoming episodes (this saga has been dragging on for weeks, simmering on the back burner... but it is nearing a resolution, largely due to internal pressure regarding the Epstein case, which directly implicates "pedo-president" Trump): https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/mundo/2026/02/trump-disse-a-policia-em-2006-que-todo-mundo-sabia-de-crimes-de-epstein-mostram-documentos.shtml

Monday, December 9, 2024

The dispute over the Middle East. We're facing a new wave of decolonization

For those who have not dimensioned the meaning of this new stage of the conflict in the Middle East, it is a stage in which the United States is trying to maintain its dominance or hegemony in the Middle East, which is why it rushed to defend Israel as early as October 2023 with other NATO members, notably the United Kingdom (which many in Brazil only understand the term if we mention the country by the name of "England").

We probably are witnessing another wave of decolonization in the World, which always break out in the decline of the power of Empire of some countries, in conflict between these countries and in the change of economic axis to another region or country, in the current case the transition from the US/Western Europe axis to Asia/China.

After World War II with the destruction of Europe several colonies of Europe in Asia and Africa, remnants, began processes of independence and bloody, by repression of the "metropolises", see the Algerian war with its 1 million dead (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Algerian_War), France, the " winner "of the Second World War over Hitler's Nazism (as it is often erroneously portrayed because it lived under collaborationist rule in the Second World War), went to a bloody war to keep Algeria under its" heel " (Dominion).

The same thing happened in several African and Asian countries, the Chinese revolution in 1949 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Communist_Revolution).

The Indochina Liberation War (which many only know from Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia https://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indochina_Francesa), first from the hand of the French, who as soon as they fell opened space for the Americans to enter to contain the advance of the guerrillas of North Vietnam, who would emerge victorious in 1975 unifying Vietnam into a republic expelling the United States from that country. The Americans remained in South Vietnam, under their rule, at war with the communist guerrillas of North Vietnam.

The Vietnam War is a war of Independence (https://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guerra_do_Vietn%C3%A3) Mostly.

Wars of independence usually have a revolutionary content, of National Liberation, provoke profound changes in the countries that get rid of the former metropolises.

The same process of the past (there were other waves of decolonization: of the Americas throughout the nineteenth century, after the second war etc.) may be repeating itself in Africa (several countries rose up against French colonial oppression expelling France from their countries) and in the Middle East, see the Palestine conflict (area dominated by Israel anchored in the United States and Western Europe), Lebanon and all the actors involved targets of the North American/European and Israeli consortium, in which the strongest parties (the United States prominently and the United Kingdom and other Europeans in the background) operate to contain the advance of China/Russia and BRICS on the oil and gas reserves of this region of the globe.

I was watching a left channel video (I didn't memorize the name, I'll put it in the comments if I remember) about the situation in Lebanon / Iran and the cia and the question came to mind because someone mentioned something similar there, Breno Altman has been touching on the subject in relation to the US and containment with China (he made a video (https://www.youtube.com/watch.v=bsKn1kUPARw "the United States is committed to a third war. - ANALYSIS OF BRENO ALTMAN" in "BR Portuguese").

an addendum: this text here was written several days ago (since the last 10th or earlier), it was not published before due to lack of revision and some details, because it impresses the convergence (I comment on this at the end with another text from outside).

For those who think that the conflict will "end tomorrow" and the like, and even may (partly, it depends on the escalation with Iran, which is a central actor in the Middle East), we are already inside a conflict of a much larger scale.

The United States will not have much time in a few years to try a military containment of China, since it can no longer contain the Chinese giant through technological, economic, and also targets Russia, which has restored its status as a world power and has a strong alliance with China (they are heads of the BRICS).

Memorize the year "2030", by 2030 China will overtake the US economy ("China's Economy Could Overtake US Economy by 2030", 2022 article, maintained current standardshttps://www.voanews.com/a/chinas-economy-could-overtake-us-economy-by-2030/6380892.html), and already surpassed by the calculation of purchasing power parityhttps://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lista_de_pa%C3%ADses_por_PIB_(Paridade_do_Poder_de_Compra)).

That is, the" doors "to the use of the" military route " (by the US) to contain China are closing until 2030, which is why violence and aggression in the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. In the calculation of GDP by purchasing power the "European Union" appears ahead of the United States (one of the reasons why it is also targeted, despite presenting itself as a "partner" of the US in conflicts, the US targets and attacks the whole world).

So certain simplifications that circulate in some right-wing channels about these conflicts in the " Brazilian Youtubesphere "(it had to be) sound like" mirabolante thing"," exotic thing"," denial "and the like (I saw this posture a lot of the so-called" revis "on the subject of the second war, who must have been stunned for a few years not understanding"what world is this that we live in for a decade now"), because of a refractory position of some denying the issue of the expansionist character of Israel's colonial project (Israel's role in the conflict is to consolidate the Zionist project for Palestine and then want to expand in the direction of "Greater Israel", which encompasses several other countries in the region, only without strength for this currently except if the United States endorses and enters the dispute to provide this, which does not mean that it will succeed in the "undertaking", they are already surrounded on all sides since 2023).

It is also worth reading, the texts and videos converge towards the same point: https://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/how-ten-middle-east-conflicts-are-converging-into-one-big-war ("How Ten Middle East Conflicts are Converging Into one Big War. The U.S. is embroiled in wars among foreign players in Israel, Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen")
("as the conflicts of the Middle East are converging into one major war, the US is immersed in wars with disparate players in Israel, Iraq, Lebanon, Syria and Yemen").

text published on October 15, 2024 (later it will be replaced in the correct order, so as not to disturb the viewing of posts about the Middle East).

Text written by Roberto Lucena. No fix (Testing the AI tools).

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